The IMF has worsened its forecast for the Greek economy for 2026

The International Monetary Fund has downgraded its forecast for the Greek economylowering maturation estimates and simultaneously raising expectations for inflation for 2026.

According to the study World Economic Outlook (WEO)height Greece GDP successful 2026 will beryllium 1.8% alternatively of the antecedently expected 2%, reflecting unit from the vigor situation and weakening planetary demand.

Key indicators

• GDP growth: 1.8% successful 2026 (versus 2% previously);
• 2025: 2.1%;
• 2027: 1.7%;
• inflation: 3.5% successful 2026 (from 2.9% successful 2025);
• 2027: simplification to 2.7%.

This means that Price maturation successful Greece will continuedespite the ceremonial slowdown successful ostentation successful the agelong term.

Weaknesses of the economy

The IMF besides points to a worsening outer balance:

• current relationship deficit: 6.4% of GDP successful 2026 (from 5.7%);
• competitiveness problems;
• dependence connected imports, particularly energy.

Unemployment will proceed to decline, but astatine a slower pace:

• 7.4% successful 2026;
• 7.1% successful 2027.

Global background

The cardinal origin deteriorating the forecasts was named situation successful the Middle Eastwhich straight affects vigor prices.

The IMF warns that the planetary system is already heading towards a slowdown:

• global growth: 3.1% successful 2026;
• historical average: 3.7%;
• possible further deterioration arsenic the struggle escalates.

Development scenarios

In the worst lawsuit scenario:

• global maturation falls to 2.5%;
• inflation reaches 5.4%.

In lawsuit of superior escalation:

• Global economical maturation whitethorn diminution to about 2%;
• inflation will transcend 6%;
• oil prices whitethorn emergence to $110–125 per barrel;
• gas prices successful Europe and Asia will summation to 200%.

It is specifically emphasized that Eurozone remains 1 of the astir vulnerable due to the fact that it is simply a nett importer of energy.

Eurozone economical maturation is expected to be:

• 1.1% successful 2026;
• 1.2% successful 2027.

USA and planetary balance

Economy USAaccording to the IMF, will consciousness much stable:

• height 2.3% successful 2026;
• reduction to 1.2% successful 2027.

However, adjacent the US system faces unit from trade restrictions and outer factors.

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